It’s no secret that posts in this blog are critical of Sarath Fonseka+Mangala+JVP+UNP alliance, in the order of current campaign energy.
Am I strictly against General Fonseka? Am I a strict Mahinda “Fan”?
no and no.
But there are times when people have to take a side. I personally think that there are also times that people should get down from their pseudo-intellectual high horses and take a political stand. I think this is such a time. And I took a stand, which is to support the continuation of Rajapakse rule. This doesn’t mean that I approve of everything Rajapakse does, or that I do it on personal basis of who the ruler is.
Why I support Rajapakse is, while a crook, he still seems to me as the safest bet.
I hate to see the mustache pasted all over the Colombo, thankfully most of the cut-outs have gone down now. I get bored at seeing those artiste ads on TV and feel revulsion at seeing the “tharunyayate hetak” after every ad, which reminds me that the National Media is now used to prop-up Namal’s image as well, not just for the task of make MR win. I also think that Rajapakse brothers have pocketed a lot of public money. I think its just plain shameless how Rajapakse’s media treats Sarath Fonseka.
But is it a solution to defeat him and bring in SF/Mangala/JVP/UNP clan? There is no reason to think so. Here’s why:
First, majority of the “corruption” allegations seems to be FUD, Mud and hype. Take “helping Hambantota” for instance: That was brought in 2005; but once the prez election was over, the whole opposition forgot it, just to be brought back now. If they were honestly bothered as much as they want us to believe now, they should have done something about it in all these four years. After all, no one in the UNP was busy. They looked rather bored and lost. And what about Mangala and JVP? None of them who had no problem about Helping Hambantota in 2005 can’t have a problem about it 4 years later. This shows that the allegations are not honest but election ploys, even if they are true. Such ploys don’t mean a serious commitment from the opposition to eliminate corruption. Also, it’s no secret that Mangala Samaraweera practices Goebbels’ tactic of saying a thing many times and hoping that the people will eventually believe it as truth.
Crooks are there in both sides. SB who was one of the biggest crook in Chandrika regime was with UNP and was its national organizer until few weeks ago. No one in UNP had a problem with that. Also, Mangala was the right hand guy of Chandrika, with so many corrupt deals under her sleeve. He didn’t feel uneasy about that.
Same for violence. Ranil didn’t have any problem when SB’s sons were messing everywhere in Colombo, or when Duminda Silva molested teenagers, or JVPes got barbed wires up their asses in Batalanda, or Gonawala Sunil threw rocks at Judges. Now he points fingers. Sagala Rathnayake accused Mangala of killing a supporter of him. JVP talking about democracy is like a whore talking about virginity. Many might still remember the antics of Mangala + JVP that used threats, alleged abduction, and violence, during the election of the Speaker, just to prevent JHU from operating as an independent political party.
At this point, there are people who remind me that “those being crooks doesn’t mean that everything Rajapakse does it right”. No one said that it does. But it means that “Rajapakse is a crook, let’s kick him out” is not a valid argument. We should kick a crook out if we could find a non-crook or a lesser-crook to replace him, not because kicking MR’s butt is just good revenge.
The all-new shiny Fonseka Factor
In my opinion, mangala, UNP and JVP brought Fonseka in just because there was no one else who could challenge MR, not because they saw any potential of him as a president (and Ranil got him simply to have him defeated). What is given as his credentials are all war-credentials. But then, it was the UNP and Mangala who insulted his war credentials until he broke off with MR. This shows that the UNP or Mangala aren’t honest about this either.
It was Mahinda who gave political leadership to the war, and political leadership is what matters most, because it was done against great many odds and he had to run the country without failing it politically and economically (all the while JVP was doing its very best to bring the country to a halt with strikes). He finished the war, and he managed all the foreign pressure. He played with countries of different interests to see that we get benefited. This alone is good enough for me to judge that Rajapakse had a successful first term as President, the same way that Fonseka had a successful career as the Army Commander.
But we are electing a president, not an army commander: Is Fonseka up for the job? So far, his short track record as a politician is abysmal. He entered politics with a long list of whines about how he was wronged, is YET to present a viable plan rather than a list of daily promises (which, at today’s closure, includes promises to increase government servants’ salaries by 10,000, to give an allowance for senior citizens, and to solve problems of people who put money in Ceylinco. He refuses to elaborate his major plan, but haphazardly promises left and right about minute things.) Then he continued to carry on the usual blunders and did even more blunders trying to fix them. So much for the political credentials.
He says he’d get tuition from the economic experts of UNP. I’d like to ask him whether he had read Ranil’s 2005 manifesto “Re-gaining Sri Lanka” cover to cover, and AT LEAST understands and remembers what’s in there, let alone approve it. If not, then it means that this is just a haphazard opportunistic alliance and Fonseka is just trying to wriggle his way out of looking like an economic idiot.
And there are unanswered allegations on his sexual misconducts, misusing Army satellite phones for family talks, favoritism and nepotism as well. So far, SF had given several conflicting answers to the latter.
If UNP and/or JVP made a democratic alliance, accepted their faults, presented a viable economic plan, then at least one could have thought that they are serious about country’s future. Current set-up only shows that they are only serious about kicking MR out AND that they don’t have a clear alternative other than just a random horse to be put into the race. This is a revenge mission. Not what I want for my country at the moment.
Sahodara Samagama
It may well be true that some of MR’s brothers are corrupt. However, some of them had been in politics long before MR came to power, all by democratic electoral process, which is their democratic right. I don’t see why anyone should have much problem about Gota and Basil. It could have been a problem if they just came by the power of MR and didn’t do anything. Rather, they did their jobs very efficiently. The defense secretary Ranil appointed was only busy allegedly calling Pulidevan “machan” and visiting hospitalized terrorists and arranging VIP passage of war-like material to wanni. Gota was country’s most effective Def Sec. Why the fsck should I care that he is MRs brother when he does his job?
Rajapakse wasn’t only effective in finishing the war. He went on many development projects. May be Basil had a cut in them. But still, they contributed to country’s economy. For instance, MR started the desperately needed power projects, which were postponed by both Chandrika and Ranil governments, due to various political pressures. This should have prevented a possible power crisis in near future. Possibly, the gross economic benefit of this single project alone is much higher than the total money that the brothers stole from the us. If not, adding the economic benefits of finishing the war would definitely weigh the equation to Brothers’ favor. There were several other stuff that shows the MR governments ability to do what is necessary without bowing to interested parties and risking a loss of popularity, such as making the Galle road one way to reduce traffic congestion. This is usually the kind of stuff that people expect from UNP. What I have at one hand is an alleged “non-corrupt” government that does not do what the country desperately needs (either in economy or in war), and on the other hand a “corrupt” government that delivers. I’d rather have the latter.
One could say that since the war is over now, we shouldn’t count war into the equation when deciding the next president. WHY THE FSCK then bring Sarath Fonseka as the candidate when *his* economic policy is just “will ask from UNP what to do”???
In whole, the anti-MR alliance right now is haphazard, dishonest, opportunistic, gut-less, goal-less, doesn’t have any credibility, and has fielded a candidate with dubious credentials as a politician. I don’t see any reason to kick the present somewhat-efficient otherwise-crook guy out, just to elect a whole bunch of LOSER crooks.
While it’s easy to anonymously criticize famous people pretending that we are saints with impeccable characters, in politics we have to choose from what we have got. Rather than being seen as a holier-than-thou saint in a blog and issue forth hypocritical criticism from ivory towers (while bashing both sides and getting gallery cheer), I would choose the guy who I think will do best as the next president and support him. And that choice, unfortunately due to the lack of a better alternative, is Mahinda Rajapakse.

[...] if only to vote for the opposition. However, I think On Politics has a cogent explanation of why he supports Mahinda Rajapakse. Money quote: “the anti-MR alliance right now is haphazard, dishonest, opportunistic, [...]
Good analysis… makes total sense.
You have written exactly what I have in mind. Good article.
Agreed. Well written.
your case very well put.
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sorry if this is a duplicate . posted something like this yesterday but there was some error
it had gone into spam, I’ll keep this one. Funnily enough, as if to to make amends, this post of yours was auto-approved somehow
)
funny how you say Take
“helping Hambantota” for instance: That was brought in 2005; but once the prez election was over, the whole opposition forgot it, just to be brought back now.
and then talk about “Batalanda” the thing that has been used by the SLFP to sling mud at RW every election…. wonder why they never had an inquiry about that. oh wait they did but he was never convicted…..
There WAS a whole commission on Batalanda of which the findings were not too “funny” about Ranil W. Google for it.
My thoughts exactly! Great article.
[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by sanjayar, Mahesh Wanigasooriya. Mahesh Wanigasooriya said: Good case for voting MR… http://bit.ly/4Frvgh [...]
Great Article! Well said. Thanks a lot.
Good article however you have only presented the sunny side up, like how we like our eggs. How come there was no mention of the abysmal state of the economy? Cost of living? HR violations? State sponsored violence unleashed on political opponents? Deplorable state of law and order?
Maybe my age is catching up to me but I didn’t see you saying much other than the war victories (that seems to be haunting us; referring to the channel 4 video) and the construction of hand full of hydrocarbon power stations that are bleeding money like a freshly cut wound and will bleed even more money as the price of crude oil picks up over the coming years.
Why not take a look at the other side of MRs legacy – GSP+ concession, Mihin Air, Oil Hedging deal, Press counsel act and the list goes on.
It is ok to make mistakes he is human after all but the grim side is it doesn’t look like he’s learning from his mistakes. Man who ran Mihin Air to the ground is a PC member and directly attached to the Hambanthota port project. Instead of taking action to restore the GSP+ concession authorities are busy fabricating fairytales on international conspiracies.
So can all these cons be offset by very few good deeds he has passed on to the next generation? Or should we sing to the tune of ‘vote for gratitude’ ????
I have not presented the “sunny side up”. I have admitted that MR could be corrupt. (His government most definitely is, and may be he is as corrupt as ANY OTHER SL POLITICIAN, but someone is yet to show me any proof that he is especially more corrupt that those around Fonseka now.)
What I have presented here is few arguments, in case you didn’t get them in the first time:
1. SF’s main slogan is eliminating corruption while most around him are also corrupt, and SF himself has unproven allegations against him similar to (quality not quantity) those of MR. This is more crutial for SF because this simple fact goes against SF’s main slogan where as MR’s slogan is that he has delivered and will now go on development, with CREDENTIALS TO SHOW.
2. benefits of (Big Corruption + Development + Ending the war) AS DELIVERED BY MR may be better than (Little corruption + no development + appeasing terrorists) AS DELIVERED BY UNP.
Hope you understand this simple argument and won’t say again that “but you didn’t talk about corruption of MR”.
Decide who deserves
What if….?
Due to the recent political upheaval in the land of Sri Lanka (SL),
several people have come out and claimed the victory of the war. So we
frequently hear/read the statements like
“I am responsible for the victory over the LTTE”. So I thought of compiling alist of critical events related to Sri Lanka
which happened during the last 3 – 4 years and analysed to see what if we
failed in any of these missions, what would have been the possible outcome
scenario?
1 Mavil-Aru conflict 2006
This was the beginning of the war with LTTE andat that time General
Fonseka was in the hospital after the suicide attack.
Mavil Aru was a bloody confrontation. LTTE closed the sluice gates of the
Mavil Aru to block the supply of water to about 30,000 acres of ripe paddy
affecting about 60,000 farmers. Started as a humanitarian operation, the
Govt needed to restore the water supply from Mavil Aru to the innocent
farmers.
On August 8, 2006 when the LTTE announced it was restoring the water
supply, everyone expected the SL govt to call off the operation and come
to a settlement.If it was Ranil or Chandrika at the helm, it would have
been the end of the story.Even the LTTE expected the same from Mahinda,
but the Govt went ahead with the operation “Watershed” until it gained the
full control of the sluice gates controlling the water flow.
During the operation “Watershed” and immediately after, there was pressure
from the International agencies and diplomatic missions to stop the
operation and come to a ceasefire.Even the ex US president Bill Clinton
intervened at one stage.In this instance President and the Govt selected
the Military approach over the political solution to resolve the issueand
which was never expected by the LTTE. The most important aspect of this
operation was to re-establish the credibility of the security forces and
totally sideline the SLMM (Monitoring mission).
If the operation had failed – what would have been the outcome? LTTE would
have taken the total control of the whole eastern province including
Trincomalee. – Mahinda’s head would have been on the chopping block.
2 SL Budget 2007
You may remember the tense situation that prevailed just before the voting
for the SL Budget 2007. Mangala Samaraweera expected several MP’s to cross
over from the Government side to the opposition; even the JVP expected the
same. Wimal Weerawansa and his supporters saved the government on that
occasion. When the defectors knew that Govt will not lose, their whole
operation was deflated. Even the current JVP did not vote against the govt
and abstained from the vote. Poor Anura Bandarnayake did not have a clue
of the situation and got seated with the opposition.
If the Govt lost the budget on that day, would you like to imagine the situation of the country now? Most probably Prabhakaran & LTTE would have captured part of the country by now.
3 Destruction of large LTTE ships in 2007
In 2007, SL Navy destroyed the several large LTTE ships which were
carrying arms and ammunition,in the high seas. It dealt a severe blow to
the LTTE’s international arms shipment network and drastically reduced its
fire power. This was a major turning point of the war. This was the first
time our small Navy went out of our water and completed a major operation
successfully.
What would have happened if that operation failed? Who would get the
blame? .Of course President, Defense Secretary and Navy Commander would be
the prime targets for the blame & ridicule. The opposition along with LTTE
would have started a campaign and toppled the Government. Most probably,
Prabhakaran would be running his Eelam by now.
General Fonseka was not in the scene at the all.
4 UN Security Council in 2009
Even though the physical war was going on within SL, there was another
battle that continued on outside SL. Most of the Western nations (US, UK,
France, Norway, Sweden, etc) were using all their diplomatic fronts to
stop the war and come to a political settlement.Several times LTTE
Diaspora with the help of the West tried to include SL conflict into the
Security Council agenda, but failed because of China, Russia & Vietnam.
Here again credit lies with the Rajapaksa regime for backing the correct
horse. Right from the beginning, Mahinda and the Govt had a very good
relationship with China, Russia & India and that paved the way for their
support.
If the LTTE Diaspora & West won at the UN Security Council, most probably
UN would have sent a Peace Keeping Force and that would have been the
birth of Eelam.
5 Bloody war in 2008 & 2009
By 2007, SL Security Forces have taken the total control of the Eastern
province and started to dismantle LTTE from the north. According to the
media reports, General Fonseka was in total control of this operation and
he appointed commanders like Major General Jagath Dias and Brigadier
Shavendra Silva, etc to lead the army from several fronts.
As we all know, they succeeded in their operations in spite of the stiff
resistance from LTTE. Even though LTTE was weak at this time because of
lack of supplies, credit should go to General Fonsekafor appointing the
right people at the right time and for the operational tactics. But recent
report says that General was not in the country when the war was won. Most
probably he was not needed during that phase of the war. Our Security
forces without the General, Diplomats, Administrators and Politicians
completed the job in style with the public support.
During this phaseLTTE had the indirect support of the NGO & INGO as well
as the SL opposition (UNP,Mangala Samaraweera, Mano Ganeshan, etc). Finally SLSF won the war.
What if – the SLSF forces lost this war, what would be the situation now?
Whose head would go to the chopping block first? Of course, as Commander
and Chief, Mahinda’s head would go first followed by Gotabhaya, General
Fonseka, etc and not the other way around. This is where the
“Responsibility & Accountability comes into the picture”.
6 War at the UN Human rights in 2009
While the physical war was happening in north of SL, two other wars were
going on in UN Human rights council and in Colombo.
When the west failed in UN Security Council, they tried again in UN human
rights council where there are no veto powers to anyone.
Fortunately,SL had people like Dayan Jayatilake, Rajiva Wijesinghe and
Minister Mahinda Samarasinghe to stand up in this council and counteract
their arguments and brought new resolutions to safeguard the independence
and the human rights of Sri Lanka. This victory is as equal as the
military victory in the north of Sri Lanka.
If SL lost this battle at the UN Human Rights Council, UN would have sent
a Peace Keeping Force to SL and that would have been the end of war and
thus created the birth of Eelam. Mahinda Rajapaksa, Mahinda Samarasinghe,
etc would be blamed for the failure..
7 Battle in Colombo. In 2009
As far as I am concerned,this is the most satisfying victory of the whole
war. During the near end of the war, the West and LTTE Diaspora tried
their last trump card by sending British Foreign Minister and French
Foreign Minister to SL, to give a life line to the LTTE and to rescue
Prabakaran and LTTE leaders. Swedish Foreign Minister was not given the
visa to join British and French. It was a very tensed situation.
This was the first time in history (after Keppetipola ) that a SL
politician stood up to our previous colonial masters and asked them
“Please do not interfere with our internal affairs”. It was the first time
foreign ministers of two powerful countries came together to Sri Lanka and
left empty handed.
What if – SL govt gave in at that moment? Prabhakaran and the LTTE would
have survived and the fight would have continued for few more generations.
Ranil, Mangala & Chandrika would have taken the upper hand in local
politics and SL would go back to colonial days.Mahinda and the current
govt would have lost the power.
8 Capture of KP & War Crimes
If one thinks that the war with LTTE is over, they are sadly mistaken.
LTTE Diaspora with plenty of money and resources will keep on
obstructing/harassing Sri Lanka in every possible sphere. Fortunately we
have capable people like Defense Secretary Gotabhaya who understood what
was happening outside the Sri Lankan borders,initiated and coordinated
the action to arrest the current leader of LTTE KP and brought him to SL
which took everybody by surprise. From the LTTE war perspective, this is a
remarkable achievement. Only the Israelis used this type of operation
before. Please note that SL does not have resources like Israel.
The West and LTTE Diaspora know the abilities of our defense establishment
and that is why they are all out to stop this type of operations and try
to accuse Defense Secretary and the other commanders (except the General
who was in China during the final phase of the war) on war crimes.
I have a feeling that if General wins the election with the help of West,
Ranil, Chandrika, etc, he will have to obey his masters and he might
handover our key defense personnel to trial at the International Court of
Justice on “war crimes”. You may also remember what happened to the
personnel who used to work for the Millennium City project.
If that happens, it will be a very very sad day for Sri Lanka, we may not
only lose whatever we have gained during the last four years, but also SL
will go back at least 60 years – back to Colonial era.
9 Conclusions
From the above, one could easily see who was taking the biggest risk in
conducting the above war and due credit should go to the correct deserving persons and not to anyone who is just claiming it.
Recently, I read another report saying that President and Defense
Secretary prevented General Fonseka in speaking to the press. No wonder
anyone allowing General to speak with the following experiences.
At the height of the war, when the Govt and expatriates were trying their
best to gather support from everyone, the Army Commander makes utterances
such as “Sri Lanka belongs to Sinhalese”. This statement alone gave a lot
of ammunition to the LTTE and to its Diaspora. The expatriates who loved
the country had a very difficult time in encountering the above statement
and defending the General. I am sure it must have been the same for the SL
government.
Dear General – a politically correct statement is “Sri Lanka belongs to
Sri Lankans (Sinhalese, Tamil, Muslims, etc)” and not the other way.
When we needed the support of India, the General makes another blunder by
uttering “Tamil Nadu politicians are jokers”. These are politically
incorrect statements. I am sure some one in the government would have
apologized to India with regards to the above statement.
10 Now , Who is the winner
What if – Major General Jagath Dias (57 Division) and Brigadier Shavendra
Silva (58 Division) – the most competent commanders of the army, claim
that they are responsible for the victory of the war because they went to
the battle front and took the risks more than anyone else?
Then the General Fonseka will say – No, I gave the opportunity and command
to the commanders and therefore I am totally responsible for the victory.
Then Gotabhaya might say– No, I took the risk and appointed the General
as the Army Commander and therefore he too should get the credit of the
victory.
Then President Mahinda might say– No, I appointed Gotabhaya as the
Defense Secretary and therefore I should get the credit of the victory.
Then the people in SL (SLFP, JVP, JHU, etc) will saywe appointed Mahinda
as the President and the credit and the victory should come to us.
Finally credit of the victory belongs to all Sri Lankans except the ones like Ranil, Mangala, Chandrika and their supporters who tried to betray the country at each and every opportunity.
Great article, totally agreed.